Articles | Volume 10, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-179-2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-179-2016
Research article
 | 
20 Jan 2016
Research article |  | 20 Jan 2016

Simulated high-latitude soil thermal dynamics during the past 4 decades

S. Peng, P. Ciais, G. Krinner, T. Wang, I. Gouttevin, A. D. McGuire, D. Lawrence, E. Burke, X. Chen, B. Decharme, C. Koven, A. MacDougall, A. Rinke, K. Saito, W. Zhang, R. Alkama, T. J. Bohn, C. Delire, T. Hajima, D. Ji, D. P. Lettenmaier, P. A. Miller, J. C. Moore, B. Smith, and T. Sueyoshi

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Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
AR by Anna Mirena Feist-Polner on behalf of the Authors (15 Sep 2015)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (06 Oct 2015) by Tobias Bolch
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (27 Oct 2015)
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (02 Nov 2015)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (Editor review) (12 Nov 2015) by Tobias Bolch
AR by S. Peng on behalf of the Authors (22 Nov 2015)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (05 Dec 2015) by Tobias Bolch
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Short summary
Soil temperature change is a key indicator of the dynamics of permafrost. Using nine process-based ecosystem models with permafrost processes, a large spread of soil temperature trends across the models. Air temperature and longwave downward radiation are the main drivers of soil temperature trends. Based on an emerging observation constraint method, the total boreal near-surface permafrost area decrease comprised between 39 ± 14 × 103 and 75 ± 14 × 103 km2 yr−1 from 1960 to 2000.