Articles | Volume 10, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-2693-2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-2693-2016
Research article
 | 
15 Nov 2016
Research article |  | 15 Nov 2016

Semi-automated calibration method for modelling of mountain permafrost evolution in Switzerland

Antoine Marmy, Jan Rajczak, Reynald Delaloye, Christin Hilbich, Martin Hoelzle, Sven Kotlarski, Christophe Lambiel, Jeannette Noetzli, Marcia Phillips, Nadine Salzmann, Benno Staub, and Christian Hauck

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Short summary
This paper presents a new semi-automated method to calibrate the 1-D soil model COUP. It is the first time (as far as we know) that this approach is developed for mountain permafrost. It is applied at six test sites in the Swiss Alps. In a second step, the calibrated model is used for RCM-based simulations with specific downscaling of RCM data to the borehole scale. We show projections of the permafrost evolution at the six sites until the end of the century and according to the A1B scenario.