Articles | Volume 12, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-2175-2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-2175-2018
Research article
 | 
06 Jul 2018
Research article |  | 06 Jul 2018

Glacio-hydrological melt and run-off modelling: application of a limits of acceptability framework for model comparison and selection

Jonathan D. Mackay, Nicholas E. Barrand, David M. Hannah, Stefan Krause, Christopher R. Jackson, Jez Everest, and Guðfinna Aðalgeirsdóttir

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AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
AR by Jonathan D Mackay on behalf of the Authors (30 Apr 2018)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (15 May 2018) by Moritz Langer
RR by David Loibl (17 Jun 2018)
ED: Publish as is (18 Jun 2018) by Moritz Langer
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Short summary
We apply a framework to compare and objectively accept or reject competing melt and run-off process models. We found no acceptable models. Furthermore, increasing model complexity does not guarantee better predictions. The results highlight model selection uncertainty and the need for rigorous frameworks to identify deficiencies in competing models. The application of this approach in the future will help to better quantify model prediction uncertainty and develop improved process models.