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TC | Volume 13, issue 2
The Cryosphere, 13, 469–489, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-469-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
The Cryosphere, 13, 469–489, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-469-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 08 Feb 2019

Research article | 08 Feb 2019

Robust uncertainty assessment of the spatio-temporal transferability of glacier mass and energy balance models

Tobias Zolles et al.
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Manuscript under review for TC
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Cited articles  
Anslow, F. S., Hostetler, S., Bidlake, W. R., and Clark, P. U.: Distributed energy balance modeling of South Cascade Glacier, Washington and assessment of model uncertainty, J. Geophys. Res.-Earth, 113, 1–18, https://doi.org/10.1029/2007JF000850, 2008. a
Beven, K.: Changing ideas in hydrology - The case of physically-based models, J. Hydrol., 105, 157–172, https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-1694(89)90101-7, 1989. a
Beven, K. and Binley, A.: The Future of Distributed Models: Model Calibration and Uncertainity Prediction, Hydrol. Process., 6, 279–298, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.3360060305, 1992. a
Bintanja, R. and Van Den Broeke, M.: The surface energy balance of antartic snow and blue ice, J. Appl. Meteorol., 34, 902–926, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0450(1995)034<0902:TSEBOA>2.0.CO;2, 1995. a, b
Braithwaite, R. J.: Aerodynatnic stability and turbulent sensible-heat flux over a melting ice surface, the Greenland ice sheet, J. Glaciol., 41, 562–571, https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022143000034882, 1995. a
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A mass and energy balance model was subjected to sensitivity and uncertainty analysis on two different Alpine glaciers. The global sensitivity analysis allowed for a mass balance measurement independent assessment of the model sensitivity and functioned as a reduction of the model free parameter space. A novel approach of a multi-objective optimization estimates the uncertainty of the simulated mass balance and the energy fluxes. The final model uncertainty is up to 1300 kg m−3 per year.
A mass and energy balance model was subjected to sensitivity and uncertainty analysis on two...
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