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The Cryosphere An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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TC | Volume 14, issue 2
The Cryosphere, 14, 445–459, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-445-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
The Cryosphere, 14, 445–459, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-445-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 05 Feb 2020

Research article | 05 Feb 2020

Soil moisture and hydrology projections of the permafrost region – a model intercomparison

Christian G. Andresen et al.

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Latest update: 31 May 2020
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Short summary
Widely-used land models project near-surface drying of the terrestrial Arctic despite increases in the net water balance driven by climate change. Drying was generally associated with increases of active-layer depth and permafrost thaw in a warming climate. However, models lack important mechanisms such as thermokarst and soil subsidence that will change the hydrological regime and add to the large uncertainty in the future Arctic hydrological state and the associated permafrost carbon feedback.
Widely-used land models project near-surface drying of the terrestrial Arctic despite increases...
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