Articles | Volume 9, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-9-2311-2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-9-2311-2015
Research article
 | 
07 Dec 2015
Research article |  | 07 Dec 2015

Evaluation of the CMIP5 models in the aim of regional modelling of the Antarctic surface mass balance

C. Agosta, X. Fettweis, and R. Datta

Related authors

Control of the temperature signal in Antarctic proxies by snowfall dynamics
Aymeric P. M. Servettaz, Cécile Agosta, Christoph Kittel, and Anaïs J. Orsi
The Cryosphere, 17, 5373–5389, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-5373-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-5373-2023, 2023
Short summary
From atmospheric water isotopes measurement to firn core interpretation in Adélie Land: a case study for isotope-enabled atmospheric models in Antarctica
Christophe Leroy-Dos Santos, Elise Fourré, Cécile Agosta, Mathieu Casado, Alexandre Cauquoin, Martin Werner, Benedicte Minster, Frédéric Prié, Olivier Jossoud, Leila Petit, and Amaëlle Landais
The Cryosphere, 17, 5241–5254, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-5241-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-5241-2023, 2023
Short summary
Insights into the vulnerability of Antarctic glaciers from the ISMIP6 ice sheet model ensemble and associated uncertainty
Hélène Seroussi, Vincent Verjans, Sophie Nowicki, Antony J. Payne, Heiko Goelzer, William H. Lipscomb, Ayako Abe-Ouchi, Cécile Agosta, Torsten Albrecht, Xylar Asay-Davis, Alice Barthel, Reinhard Calov, Richard Cullather, Christophe Dumas, Benjamin K. Galton-Fenzi, Rupert Gladstone, Nicholas R. Golledge, Jonathan M. Gregory, Ralf Greve, Tore Hattermann, Matthew J. Hoffman, Angelika Humbert, Philippe Huybrechts, Nicolas C. Jourdain, Thomas Kleiner, Eric Larour, Gunter R. Leguy, Daniel P. Lowry, Chistopher M. Little, Mathieu Morlighem, Frank Pattyn, Tyler Pelle, Stephen F. Price, Aurélien Quiquet, Ronja Reese, Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel, Andrew Shepherd, Erika Simon, Robin S. Smith, Fiammetta Straneo, Sainan Sun, Luke D. Trusel, Jonas Van Breedam, Peter Van Katwyk, Roderik S. W. van de Wal, Ricarda Winkelmann, Chen Zhao, Tong Zhang, and Thomas Zwinger
The Cryosphere, 17, 5197–5217, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-5197-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-5197-2023, 2023
Short summary
Understanding the drivers of near-surface winds in Adelie land, East Antarctica
Cécile Davrinche, Anaïs Orsi, Cécile Agosta, Charles Amory, and Christoph Kittel
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2045,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2045, 2023
Short summary
Abrupt excursion in water vapor isotopic variability during cold fronts at the Pointe Benedicte observatory in Amsterdam Island
Amaelle Landais, Cécile Agosta, Françoise Vimeux, Olivier Magand, Cyrielle Solis, Alexandre Cauquoin, Niels Dutrievoz, Camille Risi, Christophe Leroy-Dos Santos, Elise Fourré, Olivier Cattani, Olivier Jossoud, Bénédicte Minster, Frédéric Prié, Mathieu Casado, Aurélien Dommergue, Yann Bertrand, and Martin Werner
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1617,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1617, 2023
Short summary

Related subject area

Antarctic
Impact of boundary conditions on the modeled thermal regime of the Antarctic ice sheet
In-Woo Park, Emilia Kyung Jin, Mathieu Morlighem, and Kang-Kun Lee
The Cryosphere, 18, 1139–1155, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-1139-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-1139-2024, 2024
Short summary
The staggered retreat of grounded ice in the Ross Sea, Antarctica, since the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM)
Matthew A. Danielson and Philip J. Bart
The Cryosphere, 18, 1125–1138, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-1125-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-1125-2024, 2024
Short summary
The effect of landfast sea ice buttressing on ice dynamic speedup in the Larsen B embayment, Antarctica
Trystan Surawy-Stepney, Anna E. Hogg, Stephen L. Cornford, Benjamin J. Wallis, Benjamin J. Davison, Heather L. Selley, Ross A. W. Slater, Elise K. Lie, Livia Jakob, Andrew Ridout, Noel Gourmelen, Bryony I. D. Freer, Sally F. Wilson, and Andrew Shepherd
The Cryosphere, 18, 977–993, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-977-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-977-2024, 2024
Short summary
Meteoric water and glacial melt in the southeastern Amundsen Sea: a time series from 1994 to 2020
Andrew N. Hennig, David A. Mucciarone, Stanley S. Jacobs, Richard A. Mortlock, and Robert B. Dunbar
The Cryosphere, 18, 791–818, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-791-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-791-2024, 2024
Short summary
Evaporative controls on Antarctic precipitation: an ECHAM6 model study using innovative water tracer diagnostics
Qinggang Gao, Louise C. Sime, Alison J. McLaren, Thomas J. Bracegirdle, Emilie Capron, Rachael H. Rhodes, Hans Christian Steen-Larsen, Xiaoxu Shi, and Martin Werner
The Cryosphere, 18, 683–703, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-683-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-683-2024, 2024
Short summary

Cited articles

Bracegirdle, T. J., Turner, J., Hosking, J. S., and Phillips, T.: Sources of uncertainty in projections of twenty-first century westerly wind changes over the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica, in CMIP5 climate models, Clim. Dynam., 43, 2093–2104, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-2032-1, 2014.
Bracegirdle, T. J., Turner, J., Hosking, J. S., and Phillips, T.: Sources of uncertainty in projections of twenty-first century westerly wind changes over the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica, in CMIP5 climate models, Clim. Dynam., 43, 2093–2104, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00685.1, 2012.
Bromwich, D. H., Nicolas, J. P., and Monaghan, A. J.: An assessment of precipitation changes over Antarctica and the Southern Ocean since 1989 in contemporary global reanalyses, J. Climate, 24, 4189–4209, https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JCLI4074.1, 2011.
Connolley, W. M. and Bracegirdle, T. J.: An Antarctic assessment of IPCC AR4 coupled models, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L22505, https://doi.org/10.1029/2007GL031648 2007.
Download
Short summary
Estimates of the Antarctic surface mass balance with regional climate models (RCMs) require proper fields for forcing; hence we evaluate 41 CMIP5 climate models over Antarctica and include six reanalyses. Most of the models are biased compared to ERA-Interim, ACCESS1-3 being the best choice for forcing RCMs. Climate change is less sensitive to global warming than it is to the present-day simulated sea ice and to the feedback between sea-ice decrease and temperature increase around Antarctica.