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The Cryosphere An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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Volume 11, issue 6
The Cryosphere, 11, 3023–3034, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-11-3023-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
The Cryosphere, 11, 3023–3034, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-11-3023-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 21 Dec 2017

Research article | 21 Dec 2017

How much should we believe correlations between Arctic cyclones and sea ice extent?

Jamie G. L. Rae et al.

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Cited articles

Babb, D. G., Galley, R. J., Barber, D. G., and Rysgaard, S.: Physical processes contributing to an ice free Beaufort Sea during September 2012, J. Geophys. Res.-Oceans, 121, 267–283, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JC010756, 2016.
Bengtsson, L., Hodges, K. I., and Roeckner, E.: Storm Tracks and Climate Change, J. Climate, 19, 3518–3543, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI3815.1, 2006.
Best, M. J., Pryor, M., Clark, D. B., Rooney, G. G., Essery, R. L. H., Ménard, C. B., Edwards, J. M., Hendry, M. A., Porson, A., Gedney, N., Mercado, L. M., Sitch, S., Blyth, E., Boucher, O., Cox, P. M., Grimmond, C. S. B., and Harding, R. J.: The Joint UK Land Environment Simulator (JULES), model description – Part 1: Energy and water fluxes, Geosci. Model Dev., 4, 677–699, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-4-677-2011, 2011.
Crawford, A. D. and Serreze, M. C.: Does the Summer Arctic Frontal Zone Influence Arctic Ocean Cyclone Activity?, J. Climate, 29, 4977–4993, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0755.1, 2016.
Cullen, M. J. P. and Davies, T.: A conservative split-explicit integration scheme with fourth-order horizontal advection, Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 117, 993–1002, 1991.
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Short summary
Several studies have highlighted links between Arctic summer storms and September sea ice extent in observations. Here we use model and reanalysis data to investigate the sensitivity of such links to the analytical methods used, in order to determine their robustness. The links were found to depend on the resolution of the model and dataset, the method used to identify storms and the time period used in the analysis. We therefore recommend caution when interpreting the results of such studies.
Several studies have highlighted links between Arctic summer storms and September sea ice extent...
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