Robust uncertainty assessment of the spatio-temporal transferability of glacier mass and energy balance models

Zolles, Tobias; Maussion, Fabien; Galos, Stephan Peter; Gurgiser, Wolfgang; Nicholson, Lindsey

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-469-2019

Articles | Volume 13, issue 2

https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-469-2019

© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-469-2019

© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 13, issue 2

Research article

|

08 Feb 2019

Research article |

| 08 Feb 2019

Robust uncertainty assessment of the spatio-temporal transferability of glacier mass and energy balance models

Tobias Zolles, Fabien Maussion, Stephan Peter Galos, Wolfgang Gurgiser, and Lindsey Nicholson

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Final revised paper (published on 08 Feb 2019)
Supplement to the final revised paper
Preprint (discussion started on 24 Aug 2018)
Supplement to the preprint

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC1: 'Review of "Robust uncertainty assessment of the spatio-temporal transferability of glacier mass and energy balance models" by T. Zolles et al', Matthieu Lafaysse, 08 Oct 2018
SC1: 'Comments on Robust uncertainty assessment of the spatio-temporal transferability of glacier mass and energy balance models', Shunan Feng, 26 Oct 2018
RC2: 'Review', Anonymous Referee #2, 28 Oct 2018
AC1: 'Authors response to the referee and short comments on “Robust uncertainty assessment of the spatio-temporal transferability of glacier mass and energy balance models” by Tobias Zolles et al.', Tobias Zolles, 27 Nov 2018

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

AR by Tobias Zolles on behalf of the Authors (23 Dec 2018) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (11 Jan 2019) by Tobias Sauter

Short summary

A mass and energy balance model was subjected to sensitivity and uncertainty analysis on two different Alpine glaciers. The global sensitivity analysis allowed for a mass balance measurement independent assessment of the model sensitivity and functioned as a reduction of the model free parameter space. A novel approach of a multi-objective optimization estimates the uncertainty of the simulated mass balance and the energy fluxes. The final model uncertainty is up to 1300 kg m⁻³ per year.